Channel 5 had a documentary last night about the JFK assassination, the conclusion that was reached was quite startling.
While there is no dispute that three rounds were fired, the programme suggested that only two of these fired by Oswald, the first was a miss, though a ricochet may have hit Kennedy, the second was a hit, going through Kennedy's neck and on to hit Governor Connolly. Because three cartridge cases were found in Oswald's sniper perch, it was always assumed that Oswald fired a third shot. The third of Oswald's casings, however, was deformed, and was not a live round, rather a "plug" that Oswald used in his rifle.
The third shot, was instead an accidental round fired a Secret Service agent armed with an AR-15 rifle. It must been a pure fluke that it hit the President, it could just as easily hit Jackie or a bystander, and it was to cover up that one of their own had fired the fatal shot, that the Secret Service went to the lengths they did to conceal and distort evidence.